All matches

Esbjerg fB — Hvidovre IF, 1st Division

Denmark, 1st Division

Esbjerg fB
LDLLL
—
Hvidovre IF
WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
28%26%45%
Esbjerg fB28%Draw26%Hvidovre IF45%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Esbjerg fB28%3.54—
XDraw26%3.80—
2Hvidovre IF45%2.20—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.66

No40%

ours 2.51

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEsbjerg fBHvidovre IFCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners11.010.710.8
Cards0.72.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Esbjerg fBHvidovre IF

Esbjerg fB 28%, Hvidovre IF 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Esbjerg fB 28%Draw 26%Hvidovre IF 45%
1st half
25 · 40 · 36
2nd half
30 · 33 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Esbjerg fB

  • awayAkademisk Boldklub0:3
  • homeHB Køge2:2
  • awayFC Fredericia0:1
  • homeVendsyssel FF0:2
  • awayVejle Boldklub2:4

Hvidovre IF

  • awayAarhus Fremad3:1
  • homeAalborg BK2:2
  • awayHobro IK3:1
  • homeFC Fredericia2:1
  • awayAkademisk Boldklub1:1

Head to head

  • 08/09/261st Division1:2
  • 05/25/261st Division4:1
  • 04/10/261st Division1:0
  • 11/29/251st Division3:1
  • 07/26/251st Division2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hvidovre IF963018:921
2Vejle Boldklub954022:1319
3FC Fredericia935112:614
4Aarhus Fremad934210:913
5Aalborg BK934211:1113
6Hobro IK941412:1613
7Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
8Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
9Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
10Kolding IF915310:128
11HB Køge914411:177
12Esbjerg fB912610:195

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.