All matches

Vendsyssel FF — Vejle Boldklub, 1st Division

Denmark, 1st Division

Vendsyssel FF
DDLWW
—
Vejle Boldklub
0.9DDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
22%25%53%
Vendsyssel FF22%Draw25%Vejle Boldklub53%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vendsyssel FF22%4.51—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Vejle Boldklub53%1.89—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVendsyssel FFVejle BoldklubCombined
Goals scored0.501.001.50
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners10.77.79.2
Cards1.71.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Vendsyssel FFVejle Boldklub

Vendsyssel FF 22%, Vejle Boldklub 53%. The safest is “Vejle Boldklub or draw” at 79%.

Vendsyssel FF 22%Draw 25%Vejle Boldklub 53%
1st half
20 · 31 · 49
2nd half
22 · 38 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

67%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Vendsyssel FF

  • awayAalborg BK2:2
  • homeAarhus Fremad0:0
  • awayVejle Boldklub1:4
  • awayEsbjerg fB2:0
  • homeHillerød Fodbold1:0

Vejle Boldklub

  • awayFC Fredericia2:2
  • awayHobro IK0:0
  • homeVendsyssel FF4:1
  • awayAarhus Fremad0:0
  • homeEsbjerg fB4:2

Head to head

  • 09/04/261st Division1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hvidovre IF963018:921
2Vejle Boldklub954022:1319
3FC Fredericia935112:614
4Aarhus Fremad934210:913
5Aalborg BK934211:1113
6Hobro IK941412:1613
7Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
8Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
9Hillerød Fodbold923413:149

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.