Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.07
No52%
ours 1.94
All matches
—
FC Fredericia — Akademisk Boldklub, 1st Division
Denmark, 1st Division
FC Fredericia
1.5DDWLD
Akademisk Boldklub
WLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%25%19%
FC Fredericia56%Draw25%Akademisk Boldklub19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Fredericia1.78—
XDraw4.03—
2Akademisk Boldklub5.27—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC FredericiaAkademisk BoldklubCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners8.39.08.7
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC FredericiaAkademisk Boldklub
FC Fredericia 56%, Akademisk Boldklub 19%. The safest is “FC Fredericia or draw” at 81%.
FC Fredericia 56%Draw 25%Akademisk Boldklub 19%
1st half
40 · 38 · 23
2nd half
45 · 39 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Fredericia
- homeVejle Boldklub2:2
- awayKolding IF0:0
- homeEsbjerg fB1:0
- awayHvidovre IF1:2
- homeAarhus Fremad0:0
Akademisk Boldklub
- homeEsbjerg fB3:0
- awayHillerød Fodbold0:1
- homeAalborg BK0:2
- awayKolding IF1:2
- homeHvidovre IF1:1
Head to head
- 07/31/261st Division1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Hvidovre IF963018:921
Hvidovre IF963018:9212
Vejle Boldklub954022:1319
Vejle Boldklub954022:13193FC Fredericia935112:614
FC Fredericia935112:6144
Aarhus Fremad934210:913
Aarhus Fremad934210:9135
Aalborg BK934211:1113
Aalborg BK934211:11136
Hobro IK941412:1613
Hobro IK941412:16137
Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
Vendsyssel FF924310:14108Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
Akademisk Boldklub923411:1099
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
Hillerød Fodbold923413:14910
Kolding IF915310:128
Kolding IF915310:128Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.