Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.81
All matches
—
Vålerenga Fotball — Brann, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Vålerenga Fotball
1.7DLDLD
Brann
2.6WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%23%41%
Vålerenga Fotball36%Draw23%Brann41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vålerenga Fotball2.79—
XDraw4.38—
2Brann2.42—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVålerenga FotballBrannCombined
Goals scored1.830.502.33
Conceded2.330.833.16
Corners12.811.312.0
Cards1.82.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vålerenga FotballBrann
Vålerenga Fotball 36%, SK Brann 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Vålerenga Fotball 36%Draw 23%SK Brann 41%
1st half
39 · 33 · 28
2nd half
29 · 36 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vålerenga Fotball
- homeFredrikstad1:1
- awayLillestrom0:2
- awaySarpsborg 082:2
- homeMolde3:4
- awayAalesunds5:5
Brann
- homeBodo/Glimt2:1
- awayIK Start0:2
- homeLillestrom1:2
- awaySandefjord0:0
- homePAOK3:2
Head to head
- 07/26/26Eliteserien3:2
- 09/13/25Eliteserien2:3
- 05/03/25Eliteserien2:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Rosenborg21103839:3033
Rosenborg21103839:30336
Lillestrom21102928:2932
Lillestrom21102928:29327Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511
Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:442314
Aalesunds2149833:4621
Aalesunds2149833:4621Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.