Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.41
All matches
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US Avellino — AC Pisa 1909, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
US Avellino
LDWWL
AC Pisa 1909
0.8DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
31%27%42%
US Avellino31%Draw27%AC Pisa 190942%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1US Avellino3.20—
XDraw3.71—
2AC Pisa 19092.39—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUS AvellinoAC Pisa 1909Combined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners6.59.58.0
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
US AvellinoAC Pisa 1909
US Avellino 31%, AC Pisa 1909 42%. The safest is “AC Pisa 1909 or draw” at 77%.
US Avellino 31%Draw 27%AC Pisa 1909 42%
1st half
32 · 37 · 31
2nd half
20 · 35 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
US Avellino
- awayAscoli Picchio FC 18981:3
- homeUS Città di Palermo1:1
- awayModena FC1:0
- homeVicenza Calcio3:0
- homeUnione Sportiva Arezzo1:2
AC Pisa 1909
- awayMantova FC2:2
- homeACD Virtus Entella1:4
- awaySS Juve Stabia3:0
- homeCatanzaro Calcio 20112:1
- homeCalcio Padova Spa0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:4106
Hellas Verona FC521210:77
Hellas Verona FC521210:777US Avellino52127:67
US Avellino52127:678
AC Cesena51407:67
AC Cesena51407:679
Benevento Calcio52126:57
Benevento Calcio52126:5710AC Pisa 190952128:87
AC Pisa 190952128:8711
Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:66Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.