Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
—
ACD Virtus Entella — US Avellino, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
ACD Virtus Entella
DWDLL
US Avellino
LDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%27%23%
ACD Virtus Entella50%Draw27%US Avellino23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1ACD Virtus Entella2.01—
XDraw3.64—
2US Avellino4.37—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricACD Virtus EntellaUS AvellinoCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners7.09.08.0
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ACD Virtus EntellaUS Avellino
ACD Virtus Entella 50%, US Avellino 23%. The safest is “ACD Virtus Entella or draw” at 81%.
ACD Virtus Entella 50%Draw 27%US Avellino 23%
1st half
37 · 41 · 22
2nd half
50 · 34 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
ACD Virtus Entella
- awayUS Cremonese0:0
- awayAC Pisa 19094:1
- homeVicenza Calcio2:2
- homeAC Cesena1:2
- awayFC Südtirol0:1
US Avellino
- awayAscoli Picchio FC 18981:3
- homeUS Città di Palermo1:1
- awayModena FC1:0
- homeVicenza Calcio3:0
- homeUnione Sportiva Arezzo1:2
Head to head
- 03/15/26Serie B1:2
- 09/27/25Serie B0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:4106
Hellas Verona FC521210:77
Hellas Verona FC521210:777US Avellino52127:67
US Avellino52127:678
AC Cesena51407:67
AC Cesena51407:679
Benevento Calcio52126:57
Benevento Calcio52126:5710
AC Pisa 190952128:87
AC Pisa 190952128:8711
Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:6613
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:13614ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
ACD Virtus Entella51227:6515
US Cremonese51225:75
US Cremonese51225:7516
Vicenza Calcio51227:105
Vicenza Calcio51227:105Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.