Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No39%
ours 2.54
All matches
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AC Pisa 1909 — US Città di Palermo, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
AC Pisa 1909
0.8DLWWL
US Città di Palermo
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%27%28%
AC Pisa 190945%Draw27%US Città di Palermo28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AC Pisa 19092.24—
XDraw3.70—
2US Città di Palermo3.52—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAC Pisa 1909US Città di PalermoCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners8.710.79.7
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AC Pisa 1909US Città di Palermo
AC Pisa 1909 45%, US Città di Palermo 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
AC Pisa 1909 45%Draw 27%US Città di Palermo 28%
1st half
34 · 37 · 28
2nd half
46 · 33 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
AC Pisa 1909
- awayMantova FC2:2
- homeACD Virtus Entella1:4
- awaySS Juve Stabia3:0
- homeCatanzaro Calcio 20112:1
- homeCalcio Padova Spa0:1
US Città di Palermo
- homeCalcio Padova Spa2:1
- awayUS Avellino1:1
- homeUC Sampdoria3:1
- awayUnione Sportiva Arezzo3:2
- homeSS Juve Stabia1:0
Head to head
- 01/31/25Serie B2:1
- 08/24/24Serie B2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1US Città di Palermo541010:513
US Città di Palermo541010:5132
FC Südtirol53209:311
FC Südtirol53209:3113
Mantova FC532010:511
Mantova FC532010:5114
Modena FC53118:410
Modena FC53118:4105
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:4106
Hellas Verona FC521210:77
Hellas Verona FC521210:777
US Avellino52127:67
US Avellino52127:678
AC Cesena51407:67
AC Cesena51407:679
Benevento Calcio52126:57
Benevento Calcio52126:5710AC Pisa 190952128:87
AC Pisa 190952128:8711
Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:66Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.