All matches

TNS vs Llandudno: result 2:1

Wales, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: TNS 84%, draw 11%, Llandudno 4%.

4.0DWWWW
2:1HT 0:1
1.6LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
84%11%
TNSPrice 1.0984%DrawPrice 7.5011%LlandudnoPrice 14.204%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.44xG0.57
62Possession, %38
13Shots4
4Shots on target1
11Corners2
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 65 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    TNS84%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.571%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No55%

    Actual: Yes — we had 45%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1TNS84%89%1.191.09-5.1
XDraw11%7%8.827.50+4.0
2Llandudno4%3%23.1514.20+1.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

TNS

  • homeConnah's Quay0:0
  • homeAmmanford9:0
  • awayHolywell Town6:1
  • homeCambrian & Clydach Vale9:0
  • awayTrefelin3:1

Llandudno

  • awayBriton Ferry Llansawel0:3
  • awayConnah's Quay0:2
  • homeAirbus UK1:4
  • homeCardiff Metropolitan University0:1
  • awayCambrian & Clydach Vale3:4

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1TNS15132053:641
2Connah's Quay15112232:935
3Penybont14103130:1133
4Caernarfon Town1592442:1929
5Colwyn Bay1592426:1729
6Barry Town United1591532:2628
7Airbus UK1590631:2227
10Llandudno1551922:2816
11Haverfordwest1551912:2016

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.