Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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Colwyn Bay — Cambrian & Clydach Vale, Welsh Premier League
Wales, Welsh Premier League
Colwyn Bay
2.2LWWWW
Cambrian & Clydach Vale
1.9LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%23%18%
Colwyn Bay59%Draw23%Cambrian & Clydach Vale18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colwyn Bay1.69—
XDraw4.43—
2Cambrian & Clydach Vale5.51—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColwyn BayCambrian & Clydach ValeCombined
Goals scored1.831.503.33
Conceded0.503.504.00
Corners6.810.58.6
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Colwyn BayCambrian & Clydach Vale
Colwyn Bay FC 59%, Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC 18%. The safest is “Colwyn Bay FC or draw” at 84%.
Colwyn Bay FC 59%Draw 23%Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC 18%
1st half
52 · 31 · 17
2nd half
40 · 36 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Colwyn Bay
- awayBriton Ferry Llansawel0:1
- homeHaverfordwest1:0
- homeBarry Town United5:2
- awayHolywell Town5:0
- homeConnah's Quay2:1
Cambrian & Clydach Vale
- awayTNS0:9
- homeLlandudno4:3
- awayCaernarfon Town1:9
- awayTrefelin4:0
- homeHolywell Town2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Barry Town United1281327:2025
Barry Town United1281327:20255
Caernarfon Town1272335:1423
Caernarfon Town1272335:14236Colwyn Bay1271421:1522
Colwyn Bay1271421:15227
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:1321
Cardiff Metropolitan University1263323:13218
Airbus UK1260621:1718
Airbus UK1260621:17189Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:3218
Cambrian & Clydach Vale1253421:321810
Llandudno1251621:1916
Llandudno1251621:191611
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012
Briton Ferry Llansawel1233611:2012Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.