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Cambrian & Clydach Vale vs Barry Town United prediction

Wales, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 6 November: Barry Town United 45%, Cambrian & Clydach Vale 31%, draw 24%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%24%45%
Cambrian & Clydach ValePrice 2.8631%DrawPrice 3.5624%Barry Town UnitedPrice 2.1045%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Cambrian & Clydach Vale31%31%3.242.86-0.5
XDraw24%25%4.103.56-0.2
2Barry Town United45%44%2.232.10+0.7

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes65%

ours 1.54price 1.44

No35%

ours 2.86price 2.56

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Cambrian & Clydach ValeBarry Town United

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC 31%, Barry Town United FC 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC 31%Draw 24%Barry Town United FC 45%
1st half
26 · 36 · 39
2nd half
34 · 32 · 34

Prices: 2.86 · 3.56 · 2.10

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Both teams to score: Yes

65%1.44
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCambrian & Clydach ValeBarry Town UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.201.402.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Cambrian & Clydach Vale
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches18 goals conceded
  • 4 defeats in a row0:2, 2:3, 0:1, 0:9, 4:3
Barry Town United
  • Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
  • 2.0 goals per game away7 matches

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Cambrian & Clydach Vale

  • awayColwyn Bay0:2
  • homeAirbus UK2:3
  • homeAmmanford0:1
  • awayTNS0:9
  • homeLlandudno4:3

Barry Town United

  • homeTrefelin3:0
  • homeHaverfordwest1:3
  • awayPenybont1:3
  • awayCaernarfon Town1:0
  • homeConnah's Quay1:4

Head to head

  • 07/31/26Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Caernarfon Town1592442:1929
5Colwyn Bay1592426:1729
6Barry Town United1591532:2628
7Airbus UK1590631:2227
10Llandudno1551922:2816
11Haverfordwest1551912:2016

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.