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Werder Bremen vs Augsburg: result 3:2

Germany, BundesligaMatch finished

Final score 3:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Werder Bremen 38%, Augsburg 35%, draw 28%.

3:2HT 0:1
1.8LDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
38%28%35%
Werder BremenPrice 2.3938%DrawPrice 3.9028%AugsburgPrice 2.9335%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.29xG0.84
66Possession, %34
20Shots7
11Shots on target4
2Corners2
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
10Fouls11
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 72 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Werder Bremen38%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.550%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Werder Bremen38%41%2.652.39-3.5
XDraw28%25%3.613.90+2.6
2Augsburg35%34%2.892.93+1.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Werder Bremen

  • homeHoffenheim2:0
  • awayMainz 053:2
  • homePaderborn2:2
  • awayBorussia Dortmund2:2
  • homeAugsburg3:2

Augsburg

  • homeFreiburg1:2
  • homeUnion Berlin1:1
  • awayElversberg3:4
  • homeBayern Munich2:2
  • awayWerder Bremen2:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Bundesliga3:2
  • 05/02/26Bundesliga1:3
  • 12/20/25Bundesliga0:0
  • 01/19/25Bundesliga0:2
  • 08/24/24Bundesliga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Freiburg851218:1016
4RB Leipzig850322:1115
5Werder Bremen843117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen841318:1613
7Elversberg841316:1613
9Mainz 05831417:1710
10Augsburg823318:159
11Stuttgart830514:159
12Hoffenheim830514:169

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.