Slovakia vs Kazakhstan: result 2:1

UEFA Nations League29 September at 18:45 · UTCMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Slovakia 59%, draw 30%, Kazakhstan 11%.

Slovakia

2.2WLLWW

2:1HT 1:1

Kazakhstan

1.4DDDWL

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished 29 September at 16:19

59%30%11%

SlovakiaPrice 1.2159%DrawPrice 6.9830%KazakhstanPrice 16.0011%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.15xG0.49

75Possession, %25

17Shots3

8Shots on target2

8Corners1

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

8Fouls18

3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

11 of 18

Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type

All forecast types: landed 183 of 255void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

Match result Landed
Slovakia59%
Total goals Missed
Under 2.580%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 20%
Both teams to score Missed
No81%
Actual: Yes — we had 19%

From Premium — open after the final whistle10 of 15 came true

First half resultSlovakia 38%✕
Goal in both halvesYes 63%✓
Double chanceSlovakia or draw 89%✓
Handicap (0)Slovakia 84%✓
HandicapSlovakia -0.5 59%✓
Home team goalsUnder 1.5 67%✕
Away team goalsUnder 0.5 72%✕
Total cornersUnder 11.5 50%✓
Home cornersOver 7.5 52%✓
Away cornersUnder 3.5 51%✓
Total cardsUnder 5.5 54%✓
Home cardsOver 0.5 64%✓
Away cardsOver 3.5 64%✕
Total foulsUnder 18.5 54%✕
Total shots on targetOver 9.5 56%✓

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.