UEFA Nations League

SlovakiaППВВП
—
MoldovaППНПП
1Slovakia90%model1.11bookmaker1.27
XDraw8%model12.18bookmaker5.86
2Moldova2%model53.48bookmaker13.10

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 186 мс

Outcome

Slovakia90%
Draw8%
Moldova2%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Slovakia vs Moldova

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Slovakia: a home win is rated at 90%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Slovakia

LLWWL
  • homeKosovo3:4
  • awayGermany0:6
  • homeNorthern Ireland1:0
  • homeLuxembourg2:0
  • awayNorthern Ireland0:2

Moldova

LLDLL
  • awayIsrael1:4
  • homeItaly0:2
  • awayEstonia1:1
  • awayNorway1:11
  • homeIsrael0:4

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Словакия vs Молдова: prediction and stats — VARstats