Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.57
All matches
Racing Union — Wiltz 71, National Division
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
80%12%
Racing Union80%Draw12%Wiltz 719%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Racing Union1.26—
XDraw8.58—
2Wiltz 7111.53—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Racing UnionWiltz 71
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 80%, FC Wiltz 71 9%. The safest is “Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg or draw” at 91%.
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 80%Draw 12%FC Wiltz 71 9%
1st half
52 · 29 · 19
2nd half
65 · 24 · 11
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 25.5
67%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRacing UnionWiltz 71Combined
Goals scored2.801.404.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Racing Union- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches6:0, 2:2, 5:1, 2:2, 5:0
- 14 goals in the last 5 matches6:0, 1:1, 2:2, 0:0, 5:1
- Best attack in the league — 31 goals in 11 matches4th place, 22 points
Wiltz 71- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches15 goals conceded
- Winless in 9 matches3:3, 1:4, 0:2, 2:4, 1:2
- Winless away in 4 matches1:4, 2:4, 1:5, 0:4, 7:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Racing Union
- homeMondorf6:0
- awayUNA Strassen1:1
- homeAtert Bissen2:2
- awayProgres Niederkorn0:0
- homeJeunesse Esch5:1
Wiltz 71
- homeRumelange3:3
- awayMondorf1:4
- homeUNA Strassen0:2
- awayAtert Bissen2:4
- homeProgres Niederkorn1:2
Head to head
- 02/09/25National Division0:1
- 08/11/24National Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Luxembourg, National Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.