Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.41
All matches
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Rumelange — Racing Union, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
Rumelange
1.7LLLLL
Racing Union
2.4DWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
24%20%56%
Rumelange24%Draw20%Racing Union56%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rumelange4.21—
XDraw4.99—
2Racing Union1.78—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRumelangeRacing UnionCombined
Goals scored0.001.331.33
Conceded1.830.332.16
Corners8.39.79.0
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
RumelangeRacing Union
US Rumelange 24%, Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 56%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
US Rumelange 24%Draw 20%Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg 56%
1st half
29 · 33 · 38
2nd half
25 · 37 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Rumelange
- awayUNA Strassen0:2
- homeAtert Bissen0:6
- awayProgres Niederkorn0:3
- homeJeunesse Esch2:5
- awayDudelange2:3
Racing Union
- awayProgres Niederkorn0:0
- homeJeunesse Esch5:1
- awayDudelange3:1
- homeVictoria Rosport2:2
- awayDifferdange1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Differdange870118:621
Differdange870118:6213
Mondorf860216:1118
Mondorf860216:11184Racing Union852122:717
Racing Union852122:7175
Progres Niederkorn851213:516
Progres Niederkorn851213:5166
Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
Atert Bissen850318:1115
Atert Bissen850318:11158
Residence Walferdange850316:1015
Residence Walferdange850316:10159
Hostert832314:1111
Hostert832314:111110
Jeunesse Esch821514:177
Jeunesse Esch821514:17711
Dudelange82158:157
Dudelange82158:15712Rumelange82068:236
Rumelange82068:23613
Victoria Rosport812511:205
Victoria Rosport812511:20514
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.