All matches

Swift Hesperange — Jeunesse Esch, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

Swift Hesperange
1.3LLLLL
—
Jeunesse Esch
1.8DLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
25%21%53%
Swift Hesperange25%Draw21%Jeunesse Esch53%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Swift Hesperange25%3.93—
XDraw21%4.69—
2Jeunesse Esch53%1.88—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSwift HesperangeJeunesse EschCombined
Goals scored0.002.002.00
Conceded2.501.504.00
Corners13.79.011.3
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Swift HesperangeJeunesse Esch

FC Swift Hesperange 25%, AS la Jeunesse d'Esch 53%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FC Swift Hesperange 25%Draw 21%AS la Jeunesse d'Esch 53%
1st half
26 · 38 · 36
2nd half
27 · 38 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Swift Hesperange

  • awayDifferdange0:3
  • homeResidence Walferdange0:3
  • homeEtzella Ettelbruck0:3
  • awayKaerjeng 970:6
  • homeHostert0:2

Jeunesse Esch

  • awayHostert1:1
  • awayRacing Union1:5
  • homeWiltz 715:1
  • awayRumelange5:2
  • homeMondorf1:3

Head to head

  • 04/19/26National Division1:1
  • 10/26/25National Division0:1
  • 02/23/25National Division3:3
  • 08/24/24National Division5:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Residence Walferdange850316:1015
9Hostert832314:1111
10Jeunesse Esch821514:177
11Dudelange82158:157
12Rumelange82068:236
13Victoria Rosport812511:205
14Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
15Wiltz 71811614:224
16Swift Hesperange80082:300

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.