UEFA Nations League

PolandНПВВН
—
RomaniaППВПВ
1Poland31%model3.21
XDraw24%model4.11
2Romania45%model2.24
calculated at 23:13, 237 мс

Outcome

Poland31%
Draw24%
Romania45%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Poland vs Romania

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Romania still look stronger — an away win is rated at 45%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Poland

DLWWD
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina0:0
  • awaySweden2:3
  • homeAlbania2:1
  • awayMalta3:2
  • homeNetherlands1:1

Romania

LLWLW
  • awaySweden1:2
  • awayTurkey0:1
  • homeSan Marino7:1
  • awayBosnia Herzegovina1:3
  • homeAustria1:0

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
16Netherlands10101:11
17Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
18Poland10100:01
19Denmark10012:30
20Serbia10011:20
21Andorra10011:20
22Romania10011:20
23Cyprus10011:20
24Georgia10010:10
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.