UEFA Nations League

SwedenПНПВВ
—
RomaniaПВПВН
1Sweden30%model3.30bookmaker1.53
XDraw19%model5.17bookmaker4.66
2Romania50%model1.99bookmaker6.17

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 139 мс

Outcome

Sweden30%
Draw19%
Romania50%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Sweden vs Romania

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Romania still look stronger — an away win is rated at 50%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Sweden

LDLWW
  • awayFrance0:3
  • awayJapan1:1
  • awayNetherlands1:5
  • homeTunisia5:1
  • homePoland3:2

Romania

LWLWD
  • awayTurkey0:1
  • homeSan Marino7:1
  • awayBosnia Herzegovina1:3
  • homeAustria1:0
  • awayCyprus2:2

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Швеция vs Румыния: prediction and stats — VARstats