UEFA Nations League

PolandПВВНВ
Bosnia HerzegovinaПВПНН
1Poland92%model1.09bookmaker1.71
XDraw5%model20.04bookmaker3.90
2Bosnia Herzegovina3%model34.97bookmaker5.26
calculated at 21:09, 121 мс

Outcome

Poland92%
Draw5%
Bosnia Herzegovina3%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Poland vs Bosnia Herzegovina

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Poland: a home win is rated at 92%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Poland

LWWDW
  • awaySweden2:3
  • homeAlbania2:1
  • awayMalta3:2
  • homeNetherlands1:1
  • awayLithuania2:0

Bosnia Herzegovina

LWLDD
  • awayUnited States Men's0:2
  • homeQatar3:1
  • awaySwitzerland1:4
  • awayCanada1:1
  • homeItaly1:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Польша vs Босния и Герцеговина: prediction and stats — VARstats