Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.30
No57%
ours 1.77
All matches
—
Parma Calcio 1913 — Udinese Calcio, Serie A
Italy, Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913
1.4WLDLLUdinese Calcio
1.6LLLWDOutcome probability
303040
Parma Calcio 191330%Draw30%Udinese Calcio40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Parma Calcio 19133.30—
XDraw3.32—
2Udinese Calcio2.53—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricParma Calcio 1913Udinese CalcioCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners10.312.711.5
Cards1.72.74.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Parma Calcio 1913Udinese Calcio3.9Days of rest2.915Table position1341.70%Possession46.30%2Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Udinese Calcio travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 40%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Form and context
Parma Calcio 1913
- homeGenoa CFC2:1
- awayCalcio Como1:2
- homeSS Monza 19121:1
- awayJuventus FC0:2
- homeCagliari Calcio0:1
Udinese Calcio
- homeCagliari Calcio0:1
- awayFC Internazionale Milano3:5
- homeSS Lazio1:2
- awaySS Monza 19123:2
- homeCalcio Como1:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Serie A1:0
- 11/29/25Serie A0:2
- 03/01/25Serie A0:1
- 09/16/24Serie A2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio52035:76
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio52035:7612
US Lecce52035:106
US Lecce52035:10613Udinese Calcio51138:114
Udinese Calcio51138:11414
Torino FC51135:84
Torino FC51135:8415Parma Calcio 191351134:74
Parma Calcio 191351134:7416
SS Monza 191251138:124
SS Monza 191251138:12417
ACF Fiorentina51136:124
ACF Fiorentina51136:124