All matches

Torino — Udinese, Serie A

Italy, Serie A

Torino
1.5DLWLL
—
Udinese
1.6LLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%26%34%
TorinoMarket 2.4239%DrawMarket 3.4626%UdineseMarket 3.1934%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Torino39%41%2.542.42-1.9
XDraw26%29%3.823.46-2.7
2Udinese34%31%2.913.19+3.0

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74book 1.78

No43%

ours 2.35book 1.95

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTorinoUdineseCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded1.672.003.67
Corners8.210.29.2
Cards0.82.33.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TorinoUdinese

Torino FC 39%, Udinese Calcio 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Torino FC 39%Draw 26%Udinese Calcio 34%
1st half
31 · 38 · 31
2nd half
36 · 37 · 27

Bookmakers: 2.42 · 3.46 · 3.19

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%1.25
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Torino

  • awayBologna1:1
  • homeRoma0:2
  • awayFiorentina2:1
  • awaySassuolo1:2
  • homeAC Milan1:2

Udinese

  • homeCagliari0:1
  • awayInter Milan3:5
  • homeLazio1:2
  • awayMonza3:2
  • homeComo1:1

Head to head

  • 05/02/26Serie A0:2
  • 01/07/26Serie A1:2
  • 04/23/25Serie A2:0
  • 12/29/24Serie A2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Atalanta52035:76
12Lecce52035:106
13Udinese51138:114
14Torino51135:84
15Parma51134:74
16Monza51138:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.