Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
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OH Leuven — Lommel United, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
OH Leuven
1.1WDLLL
Lommel United
1.8DLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%27%36%
OH Leuven37%Draw27%Lommel United36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1OH Leuven2.69—
XDraw3.68—
2Lommel United2.80—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOH LeuvenLommel UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners10.610.810.7
Cards2.41.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OH LeuvenLommel United
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37%, Lommel United 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37%Draw 27%Lommel United 36%
1st half
36 · 41 · 22
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
OH Leuven
- homeLa Louviere2:0
- homeCercle Brugge1:1
- awayWaasland-Beveren0:3
- awayGent0:1
- homeStandard Liege1:2
Lommel United
- homeMechelen0:0
- awayUnion Saint-Gilloise0:5
- homeClub Brugge0:1
- awayCercle Brugge1:0
- homeWesterlo4:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:14415OH Leuven71155:134
OH Leuven71155:13416
Cercle Brugge70348:143
Cercle Brugge70348:14317
Mechelen70345:143
Mechelen70345:143Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.