Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.02book 1.85
No51%
ours 1.98book 1.85
All matches
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Union Saint-Gilloise — OH Leuven, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Union Saint-Gilloise
3.8WWWWW
OH Leuven
1.1WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
78%17%
Union Saint-GilloiseMarket 1.2678%DrawMarket 6.1317%OH LeuvenMarket 10.706%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Union Saint-Gilloise1.281.26-1.3
XDraw6.046.13+0.2
2OH Leuven17.9210.70-3.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnion Saint-GilloiseOH LeuvenCombined
Goals scored3.170.673.84
Conceded0.331.672.00
Corners7.812.210.0
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Union Saint-GilloiseOH Leuven
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 78%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6%. The safest is “Royal Union Saint-Gilloise or draw” at 92%.
Royal Union Saint-Gilloise 78%Draw 17%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6%
1st half
45 · 38 · 17
2nd half
54 · 34 · 13
Bookmakers: 1.26 · 6.13 · 10.70
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Union Saint-Gilloise
- awayAntwerp2:0
- awayViktoria Plzen3:0
- homeLommel United5:0
- awayCharleroi3:2
- awaySint-Truiden3:0
OH Leuven
- homeLa Louviere2:0
- homeCercle Brugge1:1
- awayWaasland-Beveren0:3
- awayGent0:1
- homeStandard Liege1:2
Head to head
- 01/24/26Pro League0:0
- 08/03/25Pro League5:0
- 01/19/25Pro League1:0
- 11/24/24Pro League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Union Saint-Gilloise761021:319
Union Saint-Gilloise761021:3192
Gent761013:419
Gent761013:4193
Club Brugge760115:318
Club Brugge760115:3184
Charleroi760115:718
Charleroi760115:7185
Anderlecht74127:513
Anderlecht74127:5136
Zulte-Waregem732210:711
Zulte-Waregem732210:7117
Standard Liege732213:1211
Standard Liege732213:12118
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910
Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812
Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:14415OH Leuven71155:134
OH Leuven71155:13416
Cercle Brugge70348:143
Cercle Brugge70348:14317
Mechelen70345:143
Mechelen70345:143Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.