Both teams to score
Yes37%
ours 2.72book 1.59
No63%
ours 1.58book 2.21
All matches
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Waasland-Beveren — Lommel United, Pro League
Belgium, Pro League
Waasland-Beveren
1.8LWWLLLommel United
1.8DLLWWOutcome probability
393130
Waasland-Beveren39%Draw31%Lommel United30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Waasland-Beveren2.551.80-16.2
XDraw3.273.96+5.3
2Lommel United3.314.16+6.2
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWaasland-BeverenLommel UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners9.211.310.3
Cards1.51.22.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Waasland-BeverenLommel United10Table position1249.50%Possession47.80%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Waasland-Beveren look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 39%. Bookmakers price this at 1.80.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Form and context
Waasland-Beveren
- awayKortrijk0:1
- homeSint-Truiden2:0
- homeOH Leuven3:0
- awayGenk0:4
- awayZulte-Waregem0:4
Lommel United
- homeMechelen0:0
- awayUnion Saint-Gilloise0:5
- homeClub Brugge0:1
- awayCercle Brugge1:0
- homeWesterlo4:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Westerlo731315:1610
Westerlo731315:16109
Genk723213:129
Genk723213:12910Waasland-Beveren73047:119
Waasland-Beveren73047:11911
Sint-Truiden722312:128
Sint-Truiden722312:12812Lommel United72236:88
Lommel United72236:8813
Antwerp721411:157
Antwerp721411:15714
La Louviere71157:144
La Louviere71157:144