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Lommel United 0:0 Mechelen, Pro League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Belgium, Pro LeagueMatch finished

0:0HT 0:0
1.6WWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
46%29%25%
Lommel UnitedPrice 2.6846%DrawPrice 3.5729%MechelenPrice 2.5425%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.83xG1.66
53Possession, %47
8Shots15
0Shots on target4
5Corners6
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
12Fouls16
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Lommel United46%

    Actual: Draw — we had 29%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.560%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Lommel United46%36%2.192.68+10.0
XDraw29%26%3.403.57+2.9
2Mechelen25%38%4.022.54-12.9

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Lommel United

  • homeGent2:0
  • awayOH Leuven2:2
  • awayWaasland-Beveren3:1
  • homeMechelen0:0
  • awayUnion Saint-Gilloise0:5

Mechelen

  • homeGenk1:0
  • homeSint-Truiden4:3
  • awayLommel United0:0
  • homeAnderlecht0:1
  • homeWesterlo0:4

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Pro League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Anderlecht1061313:1119
6Genk1043318:1415
7Lommel United1043313:1115
8Westerlo1042425:2514
9Standard Liege1033415:1612
10Zulte-Waregem1032512:1611
11Antwerp1031616:2210
12Waasland-Beveren1031613:2010
13OH Leuven1023510:179
14Mechelen923410:179
15Sint-Truiden1022618:218
16La Louviere1021713:237

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.