Both teams to score
Yes69%
Fair price 1.46
No31%
Fair price 3.19
All matches
MTK Budapest vs Ujpest prediction
VARStats prediction for 28 November: Ujpest 41%, MTK Budapest 34%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%25%41%
MTK Budapest34%Draw25%Ujpest41%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1MTK Budapest2.92—
XDraw3.97—
2Ujpest2.47—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MTK BudapestUjpest
MTK Budapest FC 34%, Újpest FC 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
MTK Budapest FC 34%Draw 25%Újpest FC 40%
1st half
25 · 39 · 36
2nd half
37 · 29 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 22.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMTK BudapestUjpestCombined
Goals scored0.401.001.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
MTK Budapest- schedule7 days’ rest
- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:3, 0:5, 1:0, 0:3, 1:2
- Relegation zone: 11th of 12
- Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.7 per match12 teams in the league
Ujpest- schedule7 days’ rest
- Winless away in 4 matches0:1, 1:1, 2:2, 0:2, 4:2
- Most shots on target in the league — 6.1 per match12 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
MTK Budapest
- awayZalaegerszeg0:3
- awayFerencvaros0:5
- homeVasas1:0
- awayPaks0:3
- homeETO Gyor1:2
Ujpest
- homeNyiregyhaza Spartacus2:1
- awayETO Gyor0:1
- homePuskas Akademia0:1
- awayKispest-Honved1:1
- homeZalaegerszeg2:1
Head to head
- 08/15/26NB I1:1
- 04/04/26NB I2:2
- 12/13/25NB I3:4
- 08/30/25NB I2:1
- 05/24/25NB I1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Hungary, NB I: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.