Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.60
All matches
—
Ujpest — Nyiregyhaza Spartacus, NB I
Hungary, NB I
Ujpest
1.8WDWLD
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.6DLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%28%
Ujpest47%Draw26%Nyiregyhaza Spartacus28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ujpest2.15—
XDraw3.90—
2Nyiregyhaza Spartacus3.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUjpestNyiregyhaza SpartacusCombined
Goals scored1.170.671.84
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners5.711.78.7
Cards2.74.37.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UjpestNyiregyhaza Spartacus
Újpest FC 47%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Újpest FC 47%Draw 26%Nyíregyháza Spartacus FC 28%
1st half
36 · 38 · 26
2nd half
35 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ujpest
- homeZalaegerszeg2:1
- awayFerencvaros2:2
- homeVasas3:1
- awayPaks0:2
- homeMTK Budapest1:1
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
- homeFerencvaros1:1
- awayVasas2:3
- homePaks1:1
- awayMTK Budapest1:2
- homeKisvarda2:1
Head to head
- 07/24/26NB I1:2
- 04/17/26NB I7:2
- 01/24/26NB I1:1
- 09/26/25NB I2:2
- 05/16/25NB I2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Puskas Akademia850313:1015
Puskas Akademia850313:10153
Vasas842217:1114
Vasas842217:11144Ujpest842217:1314
Ujpest842217:13145
Ferencvaros733111:812
Ferencvaros733111:8126
Paks832316:1711
Paks832316:17117
MTK Budapest823315:149
MTK Budapest823315:1498
Kisvarda82339:109
Kisvarda82339:1099
Debrecen823312:159
Debrecen823312:15910Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:14811
Kispest-Honved713311:146
Kispest-Honved713311:14612
Zalaegerszeg82067:176
Zalaegerszeg82067:176Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.