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Moldova vs Faroe Islands: result 1:1

UEFA Nations League · UTCMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Faroe Islands 42%, draw 31%, Moldova 27%.

Moldova
2.0LLLDL
1:1HT 0:1
Faroe Islands
1.8DLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
27%31%42%
MoldovaPrice 2.9227%DrawPrice 3.1231%Faroe IslandsPrice 2.7242%
Line-upsMoldova3-5-1-1—Faroe Islands5-4-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Moldova3-5-1-1Faroe Islands5-4-1

Moldova 3-5-1-1

Coach: L. Popescu

Starting XI

  • 12GKMoldovaD. Celeadnic
  • 5DFC. Cucoș
  • 18DFMoldovaI. Iovu
  • 6DFUSAM. Gherasimencov
  • 16MFD. Forov
  • 14MFV. Răileanu
  • 4MFMoldovaV. Baboglo
  • 11MFV. Stînă
  • 2MFMoldovaO. Reabciuk
  • 21MFMoldovaD. Mandrîcenco
  • 15FWPetru Popescu

Substitutes

  • 20FWMoldovaN. Cleșcenco
  • 10MFRomaniaȘ. Bodișteanu
  • 13MFS. Cojocari
  • 17MFO. David
  • 8MFC. Dros
  • 19DFMoldovaD. Dumbrăvanu
  • 23GKA. Kozhukhar
  • 7MFMoldovaN. Moțpan
  • 9MFMoldovaS. Perciun
  • 22MFMoldovaV. Raţă
  • 3DFM. Ștefan
  • 1GKE. Tîmbur

Faroe Islands 5-4-1

Coach: E. Klakstein

Starting XI

  • 1GKFaroe IslandsM. Lamhauge
  • 19DFJ. Benjaminsen
  • 4DFFaroe IslandsS. Chukwudi
  • 16DFG. Vatnhamar
  • 5DFFaroe IslandsA. Edmundsson
  • 3DFV. í Davidsen
  • 10MFFaroe IslandsÁ. Samuelsen
  • 22MFFaroe IslandsM. Hellisdal
  • 21MFFaroe IslandsG. Turi
  • 20MFH. Sørensen
  • 17FWFaroe IslandsA. Justinussen

Substitutes

  • 9FWJ. Nielsen
  • 12GKA. Petersen
  • 23GKB. Reynatrod
  • 8DFH. Vatnsdal
  • 14FWP. Kallsberg
  • 15DFO. Færø
  • 13DFFaroe IslandsM. Agnarsson
  • 2DFJ. Danielsen
  • 11MFP. Knudsen
  • 7FWFaroe IslandsJ. Bjartalíð
  • 18FWFaroe IslandsA. Benjaminsen
  • 6MFE. Joensen

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.27xG0.82
70Possession, %30
22Shots6
4Shots on target1
7Corners2
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
12Fouls11
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

9 of 17
Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type
All forecast types: landed 175 of 255void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

  • Match result Missed
    Faroe Islands42%

    Actual: Draw — we had 31%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.574%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No68%

    Actual: Yes — we had 32%

From Premium — open after the final whistle8 of 14 came true

  • First half resultDraw 43%✕
  • Goal in both halvesYes 53%✓
  • Double chancedraw or Faroe Islands 73%✓
  • Handicap (0)Faroe Islands 60%·
  • HandicapMoldova +0.5 58%✓
  • Home team goalsOver 0.5 53%✓
  • Away team goalsOver 0.5 64%✓
  • Total cornersOver 9.5 52%✕
  • Home cornersOver 4.5 55%✓
  • Away cornersOver 4.5 51%✕
  • Total cardsUnder 5.5 53%✓
  • Home cardsUnder 3.5 54%✓
  • Away cardsOver 1.5 59%✕
  • Total foulsUnder 18.5 52%✕
  • Total shots on targetOver 7.5 53%✕

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.

Next matches

Moldova and Faroe Islands: upcoming matches with a VARStats prediction.

Moldova · next matchMoldova — Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations LeagueMoldova 35 %draw 31 %Kazakhstan 33 %Match prediction →Faroe Islands · next matchSlovakia — Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations LeagueSlovakia 71 %draw 19 %Faroe Islands 10 %Match prediction →

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Moldova27%33%3.662.92-5.9
XDraw31%31%3.243.12-0.2
2Faroe Islands42%36%2.392.72+6.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Moldova

Faroe Islands

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

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Moldova–Kazakhstan353133Serbia–Germany101674Bulgaria–Iceland222751Netherlands–Greece612217Slovenia–Switzerland182755

Played

Montenegro2:1Latvia74178✓San Marino0:2Belarus51283✓Czech Republic0:2Spain81478✓

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.