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LDU Quito vs Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: result 2:1

Ecuador, Serie AMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: LDU Quito 46%, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 28%, draw 26%.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
46%26%28%
LDU Quito46%Draw26%Universidad Catolica del Ecuador28%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.62xG1.62
53Possession, %47
13Shots18
6Shots on target4
7Corners6
5Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
18Fouls10
7Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 73 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    LDU Quito46%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.553%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes51%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1LDU Quito46%2.17—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Universidad Catolica del Ecuador28%3.59—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

LDU Quito

  • awayIndependiente del Valle0:2
  • homeMacara1:2
  • awayAucas1:1
  • homeBarcelona SC2:1
  • homeUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador2:1

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

  • homeAucas1:2
  • awayIndependiente del Valle0:0
  • awayBarcelona SC1:1
  • homeMacara0:1
  • awayLDU Quito1:2

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Serie A2:1
  • 07/15/26Serie A0:1
  • 03/15/26Serie A1:1
  • 12/21/25Serie A2:0
  • 10/05/25Serie A2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Macara35206950:3566
3Aucas351591138:3854
5LDU Quito351581237:3153
6CA Libertad351491243:3951
7Barcelona SC3412121038:3148

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.