Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.00
No50%
ours 2.00
All matches
—
HB Køge — Akademisk Boldklub, 1st Division
Denmark, 1st Division
HB Køge
WDDDD
Akademisk Boldklub
WLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
30%28%42%
HB Køge30%Draw28%Akademisk Boldklub42%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1HB Køge3.33—
XDraw3.52—
2Akademisk Boldklub2.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHB KøgeAkademisk BoldklubCombined
Goals scored1.670.832.50
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners9.010.49.7
Cards1.62.03.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HB KøgeAkademisk Boldklub
HB Køge 30%, Akademisk Boldklub 42%. The safest is “Akademisk Boldklub or draw” at 71%.
HB Køge 30%Draw 28%Akademisk Boldklub 42%
1st half
28 · 38 · 34
2nd half
23 · 43 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
HB Køge
- homeHobro IK5:2
- awayEsbjerg fB2:2
- homeHillerød Fodbold1:1
- awayAalborg BK0:0
- homeKolding IF2:2
Akademisk Boldklub
- homeEsbjerg fB3:0
- awayHillerød Fodbold0:1
- homeAalborg BK0:2
- awayKolding IF1:2
- homeHvidovre IF1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Hobro IK941412:1613
Hobro IK941412:16137
Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
Vendsyssel FF924310:14108Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
Akademisk Boldklub923411:1099
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
Hillerød Fodbold923413:14910
Kolding IF915310:128
Kolding IF915310:12811HB Køge914411:177
HB Køge914411:17712
Esbjerg fB912610:195
Esbjerg fB912610:195Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.