Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
Inter Bogotá — Independiente Santa Fe, Primera A
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%28%39%
Inter Bogotá32%Draw28%Independiente Santa Fe39%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Inter Bogotá3.10—
XDraw3.53—
2Independiente Santa Fe2.54—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Inter BogotáIndependiente Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogotá 32%, Independiente Santa Fe SA 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Internacional de Bogotá 32%Draw 28%Independiente Santa Fe SA 39%
1st half
26 · 43 · 30
2nd half
32 · 35 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricInter BogotáIndependiente Santa FeCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Inter Bogotá- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 53:1, 0:1, 2:1, 2:2, 1:1
- 2.0 goals per game at home7 matches
Independiente Santa Fe- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings3:1, 3:0, 1:2, 0:1, 2:0
- 3rd in the table — 63 points from 39 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Inter Bogotá
- homeIndependiente Medellin3:1
- awayAlianza Valledupar0:1
- homeFortaleza CEIF2:1
- awayJunior2:2
- homeOnce Caldas1:1
Independiente Santa Fe
- awayAtletico Nacional0:2
- homeBucaramanga2:1
- awayLlaneros0:1
- homeJaguares de Cordoba2:1
- awayIndependiente Medellin1:0
Head to head
- 05/03/26Primera A1:3
- 09/28/25Primera A0:3
- 04/11/25Primera A2:1
- 07/27/24Primera A1:0
- 05/26/24Primera A0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Colombia, Primera A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.