Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92book 2.08
No48%
ours 2.09book 1.67
All matches
America de Cali — Fortaleza CEIF, Primera A
Colombia, Primera A
America de Cali
2.7WDLWW
Fortaleza CEIF
1.5DLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
60%24%16%
America de CaliMarket 1.4260%DrawMarket 4.2524%Fortaleza CEIFMarket 7.1816%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1America de Cali1.671.42-5.5
XDraw4.114.25+2.5
2Fortaleza CEIF6.297.18+3.0
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3521 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3510 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3490 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
America de CaliFortaleza CEIF
Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA 60%, Fortaleza CEIF FC 16%. The safest is “Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA or draw” at 84%.
Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA 60%Draw 24%Fortaleza CEIF FC 16%
1st half
40 · 42 · 18
2nd half
41 · 37 · 22
Bookmakers: 1.42 · 4.25 · 7.18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
60%1.42
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAmerica de CaliFortaleza CEIFCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
America de Cali- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 53:1, 1:1, 1:2, 2:1, 1:0
- 2.5 goals per game at home8 matches
- 2nd in the table — 65 points from 36 matches
Fortaleza CEIF- Winless away in 7 matches1:2, 0:0, 2:2, 2:2, 0:0
- Winless in 11 matches1:1, 1:2, 1:1, 0:0, 2:2
- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.6 per match20 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
America de Cali
- homeCucuta Deportivo3:1
- awayBucaramanga1:1
- homeIndependiente Medellin1:2
- awayLlaneros2:1
- homeRionegro Aguilas1:0
Fortaleza CEIF
- homeDeportivo Cali1:1
- awayInter Bogotá1:2
- homeMillonarios1:1
- awayPasto0:0
- homeDeportes Tolima2:2
Head to head
- 04/23/26Primera A2:1
- 09/13/25Primera A0:1
- 03/31/25Primera A1:0
- 09/28/24Primera A1:1
- 03/17/24Primera A0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Atletico Nacional40283979:3487
Atletico Nacional40283979:34872
America de Cali36198955:3165
America de Cali36198955:31653
Independiente Santa Fe381615758:3963
Independiente Santa Fe381615758:39634
Junior4016111358:5159
Junior4016111358:51595
Deportivo Cali351512844:2657
Deportivo Cali351512844:26576
Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057
Deportes Tolima3915121249:40577
Once Caldas371316853:4355
Once Caldas371316853:43558
Millonarios351313955:3752
Millonarios351313955:37529
Independiente Medellin341471348:4549
Independiente Medellin341471348:454910
Bucaramanga341115849:3548
Bucaramanga341115849:354811
Pasto361371639:5046
Pasto361371639:504612
Rionegro Aguilas3411121139:4545
Rionegro Aguilas3411121139:454513
Inter Bogotá3710151246:5745
Inter Bogotá3710151246:574514
Llaneros359121433:4139
Llaneros359121433:413915
Cucuta Deportivo349101540:5737
Cucuta Deportivo349101540:573716
Alianza Valledupar348111529:5335
Alianza Valledupar348111529:533517
Fortaleza CEIF346161238:4934
Fortaleza CEIF346161238:493418
Boyaca Chico34952027:5732
Boyaca Chico34952027:573219
Jaguares de Cordoba34871937:6131
Jaguares de Cordoba34871937:6131Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.