All matches

Zrinjski — Borac Banja Luka, Premier League

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League

3.4WWWWL
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%30%34%
Zrinjski36%Draw30%Borac Banja Luka34%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zrinjski36%2.78—
XDraw30%3.30—
2Borac Banja Luka34%2.96—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.07

No52%

ours 1.93

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZrinjskiBorac Banja Luka

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar 36%, FK Borac Banja Luka 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar 36%Draw 30%FK Borac Banja Luka 34%
1st half
27 · 48 · 25
2nd half
30 · 41 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZrinjskiBorac Banja LukaCombined
Goals scored2.402.004.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Zrinjski
  • Unbeaten at home in 8 matches1:0, 2:0, 2:1, 3:1, 2:0
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 3:0, 6:2, 2:0, 0:1
  • 4 wins in a row1:0, 3:0, 6:2, 2:0, 0:1
Borac Banja Luka
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0, 3:2
  • Most shots in the league — 12.8 per match10 teams in the league
  • 10 goals in the last 5 matches2:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:0, 3:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Zrinjski

  • homeRadnik Bijeljina1:0
  • awayCelik Zenica3:0
  • awaySloga Doboj6:2
  • homeVelez Mostar2:0
  • awayBorac Banja Luka0:1

Borac Banja Luka

  • homeSloga Doboj2:0
  • homeKuPS2:0
  • awayPanathinaikos1:2
  • homeBSK Banja Luka2:0
  • awaySiroki Brijeg3:2

Head to head

  • 09/12/26Premier League0:1
  • 04/22/26Premier League1:1
  • 02/14/26Premier League0:3
  • 12/21/25Premier League1:0
  • 10/27/25Premier League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski11100127:730
2Borac Banja Luka1081119:725
3FK Sarajevo115339:618
4Siroki Brijeg1135311:1114

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.