All matches

Zeljeznicar — Zrinjski, Premier League of Bosnia

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League of Bosnia

Zeljeznicar
2.2DDWWL
—
Zrinjski
3.3WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
24%23%54%
Zeljeznicar24%Draw23%Zrinjski54%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zeljeznicar24%4.24—
XDraw23%4.37—
2Zrinjski54%1.87—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.96

No49%

ours 2.04

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZeljeznicarZrinjskiCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners6.38.37.3
Cards1.73.04.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZeljeznicarZrinjski

FK Željezničar Sarajevo 24%, HŠK Zrinjski Mostar 54%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FK Željezničar Sarajevo 24%Draw 23%HŠK Zrinjski Mostar 54%
1st half
24 · 42 · 34
2nd half
24 · 40 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zeljeznicar

  • homeCelik Zenica1:1
  • awaySloga Doboj1:1
  • homeFK Sarajevo2:0
  • homeVelez Mostar3:1
  • awayBorac Banja Luka0:2

Zrinjski

  • homeVelez Mostar2:0
  • awayBorac Banja Luka0:1
  • homeSiroki Brijeg2:1
  • homeBSK Banja Luka3:1
  • awayFK Sarajevo1:0

Head to head

  • 08/23/26Premier League of Bosnia0:2
  • 05/01/26Premier League of Bosnia0:2
  • 03/02/26Premier League of Bosnia1:3
  • 11/09/25Premier League of Bosnia1:2
  • 08/24/25Premier League of Bosnia2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski870117:521
2Borac Banja Luka861115:719
3FK Sarajevo84136:513
4Zeljeznicar833210:912
5Siroki Brijeg823310:119
6Sloga Doboj82335:89

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.