All matches

BSK Banja Luka — FK Sarajevo, Premier League of Bosnia

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League of Bosnia

BSK Banja Luka
1.8DDWLL
—
FK Sarajevo
2.8WLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%24%46%
BSK Banja Luka30%Draw24%FK Sarajevo46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1BSK Banja Luka30%3.30—
XDraw24%4.22—
2FK Sarajevo46%2.17—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.77

No44%

ours 2.29

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBSK Banja LukaFK SarajevoCombined
Goals scored1.330.331.66
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners11.38.710.0
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BSK Banja LukaFK Sarajevo

FK BSK Banja Luka 30%, FK Sarajevo 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FK BSK Banja Luka 30%Draw 24%FK Sarajevo 46%
1st half
29 · 41 · 29
2nd half
31 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

BSK Banja Luka

  • homeRadnik Bijeljina4:4
  • awaySiroki Brijeg1:1
  • homeCelik Zenica3:2
  • awayZrinjski1:3
  • homeSloga Doboj0:1

FK Sarajevo

  • homeSloga Doboj2:0
  • awayVelez Mostar0:1
  • awayZeljeznicar0:2
  • homeBorac Banja Luka1:0
  • awaySiroki Brijeg2:1

Head to head

  • 08/21/26Premier League of Bosnia0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski870117:521
2Borac Banja Luka861115:719
3FK Sarajevo84136:513
4Zeljeznicar833210:912
5Siroki Brijeg823310:119
6Sloga Doboj82335:89
7Celik Zenica822411:128
8BSK Banja Luka822412:148
9Velez Mostar82156:147
10Radnik Bijeljina804412:194

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.