All matches

Celik Zenica — Borac Banja Luka, Premier League of Bosnia

Bosnia and Herzegovina, Premier League of Bosnia

Celik Zenica
1.8DWLDW
—
Borac Banja Luka
4.0WWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
16%19%65%
Celik Zenica16%Draw19%Borac Banja Luka65%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Celik Zenica16%6.21—
XDraw19%5.25—
2Borac Banja Luka65%1.54—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.92

No48%

ours 2.08

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCelik ZenicaBorac Banja LukaCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners7.04.05.5
Cards1.30.01.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Celik ZenicaBorac Banja Luka

NK Čelik Zenica 16%, FK Borac Banja Luka 65%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

NK Čelik Zenica 16%Draw 19%FK Borac Banja Luka 65%
1st half
26 · 40 · 34
2nd half
20 · 38 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Celik Zenica

  • awayZeljeznicar1:1
  • homeRadnik Bijeljina3:2
  • awayBSK Banja Luka2:3
  • awaySloga Doboj0:0
  • homeVelez Mostar3:0

Borac Banja Luka

  • awaySiroki Brijeg3:2
  • awaySloga Doboj2:1
  • homeZrinjski1:0
  • awayFK Sarajevo0:1
  • homeZeljeznicar2:0

Head to head

  • 08/23/26Premier League of Bosnia0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zrinjski870117:521
2Borac Banja Luka861115:719
3FK Sarajevo84136:513
4Zeljeznicar833210:912
5Siroki Brijeg823310:119
6Sloga Doboj82335:89
7Celik Zenica822411:128
8BSK Banja Luka822412:148
9Velez Mostar82156:147

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.