All matches

Holywell Town vs Briton Ferry Llansawel: result 1:1

Wales, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Briton Ferry Llansawel 54%, Holywell Town 23%, draw 23%.

1:1HT 1:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
23%23%54%
Holywell TownPrice 4.4823%DrawPrice 4.1523%Briton Ferry LlansawelPrice 1.5654%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.12xG1.63
36Possession, %64
10Shots13
2Shots on target5
5Corners6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
15Fouls7
6Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 123 of 183void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Briton Ferry Llansawel54%

    Actual: Draw — we had 23%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.579%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 21%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes68%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Holywell Town23%19%4.404.48+4.0
XDraw23%20%4.334.15+2.7
2Briton Ferry Llansawel54%61%1.851.56-6.7

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Holywell Town

  • awayFlint Town United0:5
  • homeTNS1:6
  • awayAmmanford1:2
  • homeBriton Ferry Llansawel1:1
  • awayHaverfordwest0:1

Briton Ferry Llansawel

  • homeLlandudno3:0
  • awayCaernarfon Town1:3
  • homeConnah's Quay1:2
  • homeColwyn Bay1:0
  • awayHolywell Town1:1

Head to head

  • 09/26/26Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Llandudno1551922:2816
11Haverfordwest1551912:2016
13Flint Town United1542919:2514
14Ammanford15231010:429
15Trefelin1513118:366
16Holywell Town14021214:492

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.