Both teams to score
Yes67%
ours 1.50
No33%
ours 3.02
All matches
—
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi — IF Gnistan, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
2.4DDWWLIF Gnistan
2.0DWDDWOutcome probability
522424
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi52%Draw24%IF Gnistan24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi1.92—
XDraw4.22—
2IF Gnistan4.12—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHelsingin JalkapalloklubiIF GnistanCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners9.510.810.1
Cards0.51.82.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Helsingin JalkapalloklubiIF Gnistan54.50%Possession39.50%3Table position44.9Days of rest4.92Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 52%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Form and context
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
- awayIF Gnistan1:1
- awayKuopion Palloseura0:0
- homeFC Inter Turku2:1
- awayTampereen Ilves2:1
- homeIF Gnistan2:3
IF Gnistan
- homeHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi1:1
- awayAC Oulu2:1
- homeKuopion Palloseura1:1
- homeTurun Palloseura1:1
- awayHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi3:2
Head to head
- 09/18/26Veikkausliiga1:1
- 08/23/26Veikkausliiga2:3
- 04/18/26Veikkausliiga3:0
- 11/03/25Veikkausliiga2:2
- 10/03/25Veikkausliiga2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Kuopion Palloseura25139341:2448
Kuopion Palloseura25139341:24482
FC Inter Turku25139332:1848
FC Inter Turku25139332:18483Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:2942
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:29424IF Gnistan25118640:3241
IF Gnistan25118640:32415
FC Lahti25106930:2436
FC Lahti25106930:24366
Vaasan Palloseura25106930:2536
Vaasan Palloseura25106930:2536