Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.73
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
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Vaasan Palloseura — IF Gnistan, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
Vaasan Palloseura
1.7LLWLWIF Gnistan
2.0DWDDWOutcome probability
362738
Vaasan Palloseura36%Draw27%IF Gnistan38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vaasan Palloseura2.81—
XDraw3.76—
2IF Gnistan2.64—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVaasan PalloseuraIF GnistanCombined
Goals scored0.331.331.66
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners10.210.210.2
Cards2.82.04.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Vaasan PalloseuraIF Gnistan6Table position44Days of rest541.60%Possession39.20%1Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Away from home, IF Gnistan still look stronger — an away win is rated at 38%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Form and context
Vaasan Palloseura
- homeKuopion Palloseura0:2
- awayFC Inter Turku0:1
- homeAC Oulu1:0
- homeFC Lahti0:1
- awayTampereen Ilves1:0
IF Gnistan
- homeHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi1:1
- awayAC Oulu2:1
- homeKuopion Palloseura1:1
- homeTurun Palloseura1:1
- awayHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi3:2
Head to head
- 06/27/26Veikkausliiga1:1
- 05/09/26Veikkausliiga1:1
- 08/15/25Veikkausliiga0:0
- 06/18/25Veikkausliiga0:0
- 10/23/24Veikkausliiga0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Inter Turku25139332:1848
FC Inter Turku25139332:18483
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:2942
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:29424IF Gnistan25118640:3241
IF Gnistan25118640:32415
FC Lahti25106930:2436
FC Lahti25106930:24366Vaasan Palloseura25106930:2536
Vaasan Palloseura25106930:25367
Tampereen Ilves251041142:3834
Tampereen Ilves251041142:38348
AC Oulu251041126:2934
AC Oulu251041126:2934