Hamburger SV 2:1 Koln, Bundesliga: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedKoln38%
Actual: Hamburger SV — we had 36%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.555%
- Both teams to score LandedYes59%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Hamburger SV
- awayEintracht Frankfurt1:3
- awayPaderborn0:1
- homeStuttgart1:0
- awayHoffenheim3:2
- homeKoln2:1
Koln
- awayUnion Berlin1:1
- homeSchalke 040:0
- awayEintracht Frankfurt0:1
- homeBorussia Monchengladbach2:1
- awayHamburger SV1:2
Head to head
- 09/19/26Bundesliga2:1
- 03/14/26Bundesliga1:1
- 11/02/25Bundesliga1:4
- 01/18/252. Bundesliga1:0
- 08/02/242. Bundesliga2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Germany, Bundesliga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


