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Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte: result 1:1

Ecuador, Serie AMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Guayaquil City 41%, draw 30%, Leones del Norte 29%.

1:1HT 0:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
41%30%29%
Guayaquil CityPrice 2.2541%DrawPrice 3.0630%Leones del NortePrice 3.3429%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.03xG1.90
64Possession, %36
8Shots22
3Shots on target4
3Corners2
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
11Fouls13
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 86 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Guayaquil City41%

    Actual: Draw — we had 30%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.565%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No58%

    Actual: Yes — we had 42%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Guayaquil City41%42%2.422.25-0.7
XDraw30%30%3.363.06-0.5
2Leones del Norte29%28%3.473.34+1.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Guayaquil City

  • homeCA Libertad0:0
  • awayEmelec1:0
  • awayCA Libertad0:4
  • homeEmelec3:2
  • homeLeones del Norte1:1

Leones del Norte

  • awayEmelec2:0
  • homeCA Libertad4:1
  • homeEmelec1:3
  • awayCA Libertad0:3
  • awayGuayaquil City1:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Serie A1:1
  • 07/23/26Serie A1:1
  • 03/23/26Serie A0:0
  • 10/29/25Serie B0:0
  • 08/27/25Serie B2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6CA Libertad351491243:3951
7Barcelona SC3412121038:3148
8Guayaquil City3512111238:4347
9Leones del Norte3512101339:4046
10Cuenca351281531:4244
11Emelec351191531:4342

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.