Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte: result 1:1
Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Guayaquil City 41%, draw 30%, Leones del Norte 29%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedGuayaquil City41%
Actual: Draw — we had 30%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.565%
- Both teams to score MissedNo58%
Actual: Yes — we had 42%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Guayaquil City
- homeCA Libertad0:0
- awayEmelec1:0
- awayCA Libertad0:4
- homeEmelec3:2
- homeLeones del Norte1:1
Leones del Norte
- awayEmelec2:0
- homeCA Libertad4:1
- homeEmelec1:3
- awayCA Libertad0:3
- awayGuayaquil City1:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Serie A1:1
- 07/23/26Serie A1:1
- 03/23/26Serie A0:0
- 10/29/25Serie B0:0
- 08/27/25Serie B2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Ecuador, Serie A: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


