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Goias vs Avai: result 2:1

Brazil, Serie BMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Goias 46%, draw 29%, Avai 25%.

Goias
2.1WDWWL
2:1HT 0:1
Avai
1.5LLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
46%29%25%
GoiasPrice 1.9046%DrawPrice 3.1429%AvaiPrice 4.2725%
Line-upsGoias4-2-3-1—Avai4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Goias4-2-3-1Avai4-2-3-1

Goias4-2-3-1

Coach: Mozart

Starting XI

  • 23GKBrazilTadeu
  • 25DFBrazilLuis Fellipe
  • 3DFBrazilLuiz Felipe
  • 14DFBrazilLucas Ribeiro
  • 54DFBrazilDjalma Silva
  • 97MFBrazilLourenço
  • 55MFBrazilGuilherme Baldória
  • 21MFBrazilJean Carlos Alves Ferreira
  • 35MFBrazilLuquinhas
  • 17MFBrazilPedro Junqueira
  • 40FWBrazilKadu

Substitutes

  • 27MFBrazilWellington Rato
  • 18FWBrazilCadu
  • 66DFBrazilDanilo Cunha
  • 28MFBrazilGegê
  • 77FWBrazilHalerrandrio
  • 8MFBrazilJuninho
  • 10MFBrazilLucas Lima
  • 29DFMurilo Camara
  • 6DFBrazilNicolas
  • 2DFBrazilRodrigo Soares
  • 1GKBrazilThiago Rodrigues
  • 11FWBrazilFelipe Clemente

Avai4-2-3-1

Coach: Allan Aal

Starting XI

  • 94GKBrazilBruno Ferreira
  • 4DFSimples Gabriel
  • 3DFBrazilAllyson
  • 40DFBrazilReynaldo
  • 38DFBrazilJefferson Maciel
  • 25MFBrazilPaulo Vitor
  • 77MFBrazilZé Ricardo
  • 14MFBrazilDaniel Penha
  • 10MFBrazilJean Lucas
  • 37MFBrazilRildo
  • 19FWCaio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira

Substitutes

  • 95MFBrazilWenderson
  • 2DFBrazilWallison
  • 5MFBrazilDel Piage
  • 8MFBrazilLuiz Henrique
  • 9FWBrazilLéo Gamalho
  • 1GKBrazilIgor Bohn
  • 15DFBrazilGuilherme Vargas
  • 26DFVinicius Miguel Immig
  • 70FWBrazilGaspar
  • 23FWGabriel Cipriano

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.68xG0.74
59Possession, %41
26Shots7
7Shots on target2
8Corners3
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
14Fouls15
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 73 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Goias46%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.563%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 37%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No58%

    Actual: Yes — we had 42%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Goias46%50%2.161.90-3.8
XDraw29%29%3.513.14-0.6
2Avai25%21%3.964.27+4.4

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Goias

  • awayCeara2:0
  • homeNautico0:0
  • awayOperario Ferroviario2:0
  • homeAthletic (MG)2:1
  • awayGremio Novorizontino0:3

Avai

  • awayNautico0:1
  • homeBotafogo-SP0:2
  • homeAthletic (MG)0:0
  • awayCuiaba1:0
  • homeLondrina2:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Serie B2:1
  • 05/24/26Serie B2:0
  • 09/07/25Serie B1:2
  • 05/05/25Serie B2:1
  • 09/14/24Serie B2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8AC Goianiense351412942:3354
9Sao Bernardo3614101251:4052
10Goias351571336:4052
11Operario Ferroviario361491346:4851
12Botafogo-SP361391441:3948
13Cuiaba3611141133:3047
14Nautico3612101440:4646
15Athletic (MG)3510141140:4044
16Ceara3511101437:4443
17Avai361071933:4637
18Londrina36882045:5432
19America Mineiro36752426:5526

More matches in this competition

Brazil, Serie B: upcoming and recently played.

All competition matches →

Upcoming

Fortaleza–AC Goianiense462826Athletic (MG)–Ceara403030Goias–CRB382735Operario Ferroviario–SC do Recife402733Botafogo-SP–Londrina562321

Played

Gremio Novorizontino2:1Operario Ferroviario691912✓Cuiaba1:2Sao Bernardo532819×Londrina1:3America Mineiro502624×

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.