Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Gremio Novorizontino — Operario Ferroviario, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Gremio Novorizontino
2.6WDLDW
Operario Ferroviario
2.1LDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%14%
Gremio Novorizontino63%Draw22%Operario Ferroviario14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gremio Novorizontino1.58—
XDraw4.45—
2Operario Ferroviario6.93—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGremio NovorizontinoOperario FerroviarioCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.000.830.83
Corners8.010.09.0
Cards1.51.53.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gremio NovorizontinoOperario Ferroviario
Grêmio Novorizontino 63%, Operário Ferroviário EC 14%. The safest is “Grêmio Novorizontino or draw” at 86%.
Grêmio Novorizontino 63%Draw 22%Operário Ferroviário EC 14%
1st half
48 · 36 · 16
2nd half
45 · 35 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gremio Novorizontino
- homeGoias3:0
- homeSao Bernardo0:0
- awayCeara1:2
- homeCuiaba1:1
- awayBotafogo-SP3:1
Operario Ferroviario
- awayJuventude0:3
- homeCeara2:2
- awayCriciuma2:0
- awayNautico3:3
- homeCRB3:0
Head to head
- 07/12/26Serie B1:2
- 10/12/25Serie B3:0
- 06/23/25Serie B0:2
- 11/09/24Serie B0:1
- 07/23/24Serie B0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Vila Nova31176844:3157
Vila Nova31176844:31572
Juventude31168735:1956
Juventude31168735:19563Gremio Novorizontino31159752:2754
Gremio Novorizontino31159752:27544
Fortaleza311411636:2753
Fortaleza311411636:27535
Criciuma31158833:2753
Criciuma31158833:27536
AC Goianiense311410739:2752
AC Goianiense311410739:27527
CRB311461146:4448
CRB311461146:44488Operario Ferroviario31139943:4148
Operario Ferroviario31139943:41489
SC do Recife311211842:3347
SC do Recife311211842:334710
Cuiaba311113732:2546
Cuiaba311113732:2546Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.