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Gibraltar vs Andorra: result 0:0

UEFA Nations League · UTCMatch finished

Final score 0:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Gibraltar 37%, draw 34%, Andorra 29%.

Gibraltar
1.3LLLLL
0:0HT 0:0
Andorra
1.6LLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
37%34%29%
GibraltarPrice 3.9037%DrawPrice 2.6834%AndorraPrice 2.4929%
Line-upsGibraltar3-5-2—Andorra4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Gibraltar3-5-2Andorra4-2-3-1

Gibraltar 3-5-2

Coach: S. Wiseman

Starting XI

  • 1GKB. Banda
  • 6DFGibraltarB. Lopes
  • 8DFK. Ronan
  • 3DFJ. Valarino
  • 5MFD. Bent
  • 22MFGibraltarG. Torrilla
  • 4MFN. Pozo
  • 19MFL. Mason
  • 11MFJ. Scanlon
  • 9FWD. Borge
  • 10FWGibraltarT. De Barr

Substitutes

  • 2DFGibraltarE. Jolley
  • 21DFA. Pons
  • 23GKGibraltarJ. Hankins
  • 16MFH. Stevens
  • 15DFPaddy McClafferty
  • 7FWCarlos Peliza Richards
  • 17FWL. Jessop
  • 18FWJ. Bartolo
  • 13GKVictor Huart Guerra
  • 12MFJ. Gomez
  • 14DFJ. Garro
  • 20DFGibraltarE. Britto

Andorra 4-2-3-1

Coach: Koldo

Starting XI

  • 12GKAndorraIker Álvarez
  • 2DFBiel Borra
  • 5DFMax Llovera
  • 22DFIan Olivera
  • 15DFMoisés San Nicolás
  • 16MFÉric De Las Heras Izquierdo
  • 3MFPau Babot
  • 14MFjordi alaez
  • 10MFG. López
  • 17MFAron Rodrigo
  • 20FWGerard Garcia

Substitutes

  • 21DFA. Cornella
  • 11FWAlbert Rosas
  • 19DFJoel Guillén
  • 1GKM. De Castro
  • 6DFFrancisco Pomares
  • 8MFEric Vales
  • 7FWAlexandre Martínez
  • 4DFChristian García
  • 9FWRicard Fernández
  • 23MFOt Planes
  • 18DFJesús Rubio
  • 13GKÁ. Ruíz

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.75xG1.19
44Possession, %56
5Shots10
1Shots on target4
4Corners4
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
15Fouls24
3Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off. After the final whistle, the model’s Premium picks are open too.

9 of 15
Main predictions landedone model pick in each forecast type
All forecast types: landed 195 of 255void — 1

Open to everyone before the match

  • Match result Missed
    Gibraltar37%

    Actual: Draw — we had 34%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.581%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No73%

From Premium — open after the final whistle7 of 12 came true

  • First half resultDraw 43%✓
  • Goal in both halvesNo 70%✓
  • Double chanceGibraltar or draw 71%✓
  • Handicap (0)Gibraltar 56%·
  • HandicapAndorra +0.5 63%✓
  • Home team goalsOver 0.5 56%✕
  • Away team goalsUnder 0.5 50%✓
  • Total cornersUnder 7.5 86%✕
  • Home cornersUnder 2.5 58%✕
  • Away cornersUnder 2.5 56%✕
  • Home cardsOver 3.5 61%✕
  • Total foulsOver 22.5 52%✓
  • Total shots on targetUnder 6.5 81%✓

Percentages are our pre-match probability. Each Premium forecast type shows one model pick: the most likely outcome, and for totals and handicaps the threshold where the chances are closest to 50/50. Before kick-off only subscribers saw them; after the final whistle they are open to everyone, so anyone can check how they did.

Next matches

Gibraltar and Andorra: upcoming matches with a VARStats prediction.

Gibraltar · next matchAndorra — Gibraltar · UEFA Nations LeagueAndorra 50 %draw 32 %Gibraltar 18 %Match prediction →Andorra · next matchAndorra — Gibraltar · UEFA Nations LeagueAndorra 50 %draw 32 %Gibraltar 18 %Match prediction →

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Gibraltar37%25%2.713.90+12.2
XDraw34%36%2.912.68-1.8
2Andorra29%39%3.482.49-10.4

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Gibraltar

Andorra

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

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Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.