UEFA Nations League

AndorraППНПП
—
MaltaПППВП
1Andorra13%model7.63bookmaker3.84
XDraw60%model1.67bookmaker2.80
2Malta27%model3.70bookmaker2.42

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 293 мс

Outcome

Andorra13%
Draw60%
Malta27%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Andorra vs Malta

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

The sides are closely matched, and a draw is likelier than usual at 60%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Andorra

LLDLL
  • homeAlbania0:1
  • homeSerbia1:3
  • awayLatvia2:2
  • awayEngland0:2
  • awaySerbia0:3

Malta

LLLWL
  • awayLuxembourg0:3
  • homeLuxembourg0:2
  • homePoland2:3
  • awayFinland1:0
  • homeNetherlands0:4

Head to head — score from the perspective of Andorra

  • 11/19/24away · UEFA Nations League0:0D
  • 09/10/24home · UEFA Nations League0:1L

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.