Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Fulham — Hull City, Premier League
England, Premier League
Fulham
1.9DDLLL
Hull City
2.1LDDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%27%32%
Fulham41%Draw27%Hull City32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fulham2.43—
XDraw3.69—
2Hull City3.15—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFulhamHull CityCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners10.89.410.1
Cards1.63.45.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FulhamHull City
Fulham FC 41%, Hull City AFC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Fulham FC 41%Draw 27%Hull City AFC 32%
1st half
39 · 37 · 24
2nd half
30 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Fulham
- homeManchester United1:1
- awayLiverpool0:0
- homeCrystal Palace2:3
- awaySunderland0:1
- homeChelsea2:3
Hull City
- awayNewcastle United1:2
- awayChelsea2:2
- homeAston Villa0:0
- awayCoventry City1:0
- homeManchester United2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Liverpool52307:49
Liverpool52307:497
Everton52306:39
Everton52306:398Hull City52216:48
Hull City52216:489
Newcastle United52219:98
Newcastle United52219:9810
Chelsea521210:127
Chelsea521210:12711
Ipswich Town52037:116
Ipswich Town52037:11612
Manchester United51228:85
Manchester United51228:8513
Nottingham Forest51224:55
Nottingham Forest51224:5514
Sunderland51136:104
Sunderland51136:10415
Crystal Palace51136:114
Crystal Palace51136:11416
Aston Villa51134:94
Aston Villa51134:9417
Bournemouth50326:83
Bournemouth50326:8318
Coventry City51041:103
Coventry City51041:10319Fulham50235:82
Fulham50235:8220
Tottenham50232:82
Tottenham50232:82Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.