All matches

Newcastle United vs Hull City: result 2:1

England, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Hull City 41%, draw 35%, Newcastle United 24%.

2:1HT 2:0
1.9DDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
24%35%41%
Newcastle UnitedPrice 1.6524%DrawPrice 4.4235%Hull CityPrice 5.4441%
Line-upsNewcastle United4-2-3-1—Hull City5-4-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Newcastle United4-2-3-1Hull City5-4-1

Newcastle United4-2-3-1

Coach: Matthias Jaissle

Starting XI

  • 21GKCzechiaL. Horníček
  • 23DFEnglandJ. Murphy
  • 12DFGermanyM. Thiaw
  • 4DFNetherlandsS. Botman
  • 3DFEnglandL. Hall
  • 14MFNetherlandsSean Steur
  • 67MFEnglandL. Miley
  • 11MFEnglandH. Barnes
  • 28MFEnglandJ. Willock
  • 20MFBelgiumM. Fernandez-Pardo
  • 9FWCongo DRY. Wissa

Substitutes

  • 76MFM. Miley
  • 17FWCôte d'IvoireB. Touré
  • 8MFFranceA. Bamba
  • 5DFSwitzerlandF. Schär
  • 48DFSerbiaMiodrag Pivaš
  • 1GKEnglandN. Pope
  • 49FWGeorgiaV. Salia
  • 44FWK. Thompson
  • 77FWM. Mills

Hull City5-4-1

Coach: S. Jakirović

Starting XI

  • 19GKGreeceK. Tzolakis
  • 2DFEnglandL. Coyle
  • 6DFNigeriaS. Ajayi
  • 15DFRepublic of IrelandJ. Egan
  • 22DFAustraliaL. Herrington
  • 3DFEnglandR. Giles
  • 10MFAlgeriaM. Belloumi
  • 25MFEnglandM. Crooks
  • 27MFEnglandR. Slater
  • 7MFWalesS. Thomas
  • 9FWScotlandO. McBurnie

Substitutes

  • 50FWFranceM. Cho
  • 12GKEnglandD. Phillips
  • 17DFNorthern IrelandP. McNair
  • 11FWEnglandJ. Gelhardt
  • 14MFNorwayJ. Hjertø-Dahl
  • 21MFSwedenE. Stroud
  • 29MFFranceL. Gourna-Douath
  • 42MFEnglandT. Iroegbunam
  • 47FWFranceR. Vaz

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.35xG2.03
56Possession, %44
12Shots22
5Shots on target4
4Corners7
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Fouls10
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 66 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Hull City41%

    Actual: Newcastle United — we had 24%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.572%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 28%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No63%

    Actual: Yes — we had 37%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Newcastle United24%60%4.231.65-36.5
XDraw35%22%2.854.42+13.1
2Hull City41%18%2.425.44+23.4

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Newcastle United

  • awayCrystal Palace2:0
  • homeAston Villa0:1
  • awayCoventry City1:4
  • homeHull City2:1
  • awayLeeds United1:4

Hull City

  • homeIpswich Town2:2
  • homeBrentford1:1
  • awayFulham0:1
  • homeEverton2:2
  • awayNewcastle United1:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premier League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Tottenham933310:1012
9Aston Villa933310:1312
10Hull City925211:1011
11Leeds United92529:811
12Newcastle United832312:1411
13Ipswich Town932414:1811
14Everton82428:910

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.