All matches

Ipswich Town — Fulham, Premier League

England, Premier League

Ipswich Town
2.0LWLLW
—
Fulham
1.9DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
27%25%49%
Ipswich TownMarket 2.7927%DrawMarket 3.6225%FulhamMarket 2.6349%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ipswich Town27%36%3.742.79-9.2
XDraw25%28%4.083.62-3.1
2Fulham49%38%2.052.63+10.7

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.71book 1.59

No42%

ours 2.40book 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIpswich TownFulhamCombined
Goals scored1.671.172.84
Conceded1.831.333.16
Corners8.311.09.7
Cards1.81.73.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Ipswich TownFulham

Ipswich Town FC 27%, Fulham FC 49%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Ipswich Town FC 27%Draw 25%Fulham FC 49%
1st half
33 · 35 · 32
2nd half
25 · 38 · 38

Bookmakers: 2.79 · 3.62 · 2.63

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

71%1.50
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Ipswich Town

  • awayEverton0:1
  • awayCrystal Palace3:2
  • homeLiverpool0:2
  • awayManchester United2:5
  • homeSunderland2:1

Fulham

  • homeManchester United1:1
  • awayLiverpool0:0
  • homeCrystal Palace2:3
  • awaySunderland0:1
  • homeChelsea2:3

Head to head

  • 01/05/25Premier League2:2
  • 08/31/24Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Newcastle United52219:98
10Chelsea521210:127
11Ipswich Town52037:116
12Manchester United51228:85
13Nottingham Forest51224:55
14Sunderland51136:104
15Crystal Palace51136:114
16Aston Villa51134:94
17Bournemouth50326:83
18Coventry City51041:103
19Fulham50235:82
20Tottenham50232:82

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.