Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88book 1.85
No47%
ours 2.14book 1.87
All matches
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Hull City — Everton, Premier League
England, Premier League
Hull City
2.1LDDWW
Everton
2.1WDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%27%29%
Hull CityMarket 3.8444%DrawMarket 3.5427%EvertonMarket 2.1229%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hull City2.293.84+17.7
XDraw3.653.54-0.9
2Everton3.472.12-18.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHull CityEvertonCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners8.510.29.3
Cards3.01.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hull CityEverton
Hull City AFC 44%, Everton FC 29%. The safest is “Hull City AFC or draw” at 72%.
Hull City AFC 44%Draw 27%Everton FC 29%
1st half
36 · 38 · 26
2nd half
32 · 42 · 25
Bookmakers: 3.84 · 3.54 · 2.12
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%1.44
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hull City
- awayNewcastle United1:2
- awayChelsea2:2
- homeAston Villa0:0
- awayCoventry City1:0
- homeManchester United2:0
Everton
- homeIpswich Town1:0
- awayTottenham0:0
- homeManchester United2:2
- awayBournemouth1:1
- homeCrystal Palace2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Leeds United52307:39
Leeds United52307:396
Liverpool52307:49
Liverpool52307:497Everton52306:39
Everton52306:398Hull City52216:48
Hull City52216:489
Newcastle United52219:98
Newcastle United52219:9810
Chelsea521210:127
Chelsea521210:127Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.