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Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj vs Jezero Plav: result 4:1

Montenegro, First LeagueMatch finished

Final score 4:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj 55%, draw 23%, Jezero Plav 22%.

4:1HT 1:1
1.4DLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
55%23%22%
Otrant-Olympic UlcinjPrice 1.5955%DrawPrice 3.4623%Jezero PlavPrice 5.2422%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.24xG1.42
50Possession, %50
19Shots10
7Shots on target6
5Corners3
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
14Fouls12
1Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 77 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj55%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.553%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj55%59%1.811.59-4.4
XDraw23%25%4.303.46-1.7
2Jezero Plav22%16%4.615.24+6.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj

  • awayDecic0:2
  • homeSutjeska1:1
  • awayPetrovac3:2
  • homeMladost Donja Gorica2:2
  • homeJezero Plav4:1

Jezero Plav

  • awaySutjeska2:2
  • homePetrovac1:2
  • awayMladost Donja Gorica0:0
  • awayMornar3:3
  • awayOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj1:4

Head to head

  • 09/20/26First League4:1
  • 04/20/25First League2:2
  • 02/26/25First League1:0
  • 10/19/24First League0:1
  • 08/17/24First League3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sutjeska1465319:1023
3Mornar1456320:1521
5Bokelj Kotor1354410:1019
6Decic1253412:1018
7Petrovac1336412:1315
8Jezero Plav1326515:2212
10Arsenal Tivat121659:169

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.